7 Oct 2013

Thoughts on the Silk Road Raid, “Trolling” the FBI, and the Future of Bitcoin

By Michael Krieger: Before I get to the humorous FBI trolling story referenced in the title, I want to write a few overdue paragraphs about the whole Silk Road affair and the future of Bitcoin. The garbage that was being emanated from across the internet about what would become of Bitcoin in the wake of the news that the feds has arrested the founder of the Silk Road, Dread Pirate Roberts aka Ross Ulbricht, represented the height of ignorance. As soon as I heard the news, witnessed the price plunge and heard the hyperbole being spewed by commentators I tweeted:
The ignorance of people saying this is “game over” for Bitcoin is astounding.
and
This is game over for the most successful online illegal drug market. It is not the end for Bitcoin. Other nations will take the lead on BTC.
I also said I’d be happy to take Bitcoin donations in light of their sudden so called “worthlessness,” and I told folks they could send some to LBK’s Bitcoin donation wallet. Unfortunately, no one took me up on the offer.

Now I want to be clear. Although the price has shot back up and is only down slightly since the FBI raid (see chart below), I wasn’t making a near-term call on the price direction. I was merely saying that those claiming “Bitcoin is over” as a result of the Silk Road shutdown are clearly quite ignorant on the subject, and were just spouting ill-informed nonsense.

As far as price, there may still be dangers ahead. We know that the FBI already has taken 27,365 BTC from user accounts, and in the event they can get their hands on the $80 million in BTC commissions earned by Mr. Ulbricht, this could represent 5% of all BTC outstanding. Should the feds get their hands on all of these, they could certainly cause intentional, large sell-offs in the market should they desire. While I think there will be plenty of buyers on such a move lower (as we saw on Wednesday’s plunge), it is something to be aware of.
Screen Shot 2013-10-06 at 11.26.36 AM
Personally, the biggest surprise in the entire Silk Road raid saga to me was the fact that the guy running it was doing so from within the U.S. I had always assumed he was located outside of this Banana Republic for the obvious reasons of government thuggery and insane incarceration rates for non-violent crimes, particularly drug crimes.
Looking ahead, if the U.S. moves to demonize BTC, or make transactions in it more difficult, Bitcoin businesses will simply all move abroad and other countries like Germany, which is already taking a leading role, will dominate. It could be potentially the largest loss of future business and entrepreneurship in U.S. history, merely because a tiny faction of corrupt financial oligarchs want to protect their money monopoly turf.

Now on to the more amusing part of this post. Unbeknownst to me previously, The Verge reports that: “It’s possible to attach text to Bitcoin transactions using the site Blockchain.info, where messages are streamed for the public to view.” Well guess what? People are doing just that. More from The Verge:
When the FBI seize took control of the digital black market Silk Road, it also seized control of a bunch of money: about 26,000 bitcoins, a virtual currency that approximates cash on the internet. Bitcoins are worth about $122 each, which means the government is sitting on a pretty pile of cash. So why are enraged users sending the federal agency Bitcoin donations?
It’s possible to attach text to Bitcoin transactions using the site Blockchain.info, where messages are streamed for the public to view. It’s not hard to locate a single wallet with so many coins, and someone has already renamed the FBI’s wallet “Silkroad Seized Coins.” Users are now sending microdonations ranging from .000001 BTC to .0001 BTC, which are worth fractions of a penny, but really serve as the vehicle for messages.
In the wake of the Silk Road closure and the arrest of Ross Ulbricht, the man accused of running the site, people have a lot to say. The messages contain gems such as, “Prohibition doesn’t work. Stop ruining peoples’ lives,” and “Members of the FBI, are you more interested in control or in justice?” One user sent along a link to this sassy picture of Xhibit. Others were more specific: “Hey computer geek, who control this address. Ross Ulbricht is not the bad guy, you are a bad guy.”
Gotta love the digital age.
In Liberty,
Mike


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