Here's a finding that would have made for great occupy sign last
year: American income inequality may be more severe today than it was
way back in 1774 -- even if you factor in slavery.
That stat's not actually as crazy (or demoralizing) as it sounds, but it might upend some of the old wisdom about our country's economic heritage. The conclusion comes to us from an newly updated study by professors Peter Lindert of the University of California - Davis and Jeffrey Williamson of Harvard. Scraping together data from an array of historical resources, the duo have written a fascinating exploration of early American incomes, arguing that, on the eve of the Revolutionary War, wealth was distributed more evenly across the 13 colonies than anywhere else in the world that we have record of.
Suffice to say, times have changed.
Before we dive into their findings, a word of caution about the study. When economists reach back this far into the thinly recorded the past, they're not so much taking a snapshot of what life was like as they are making a messy collage, collecting the disparate bits and pieces of information we have available and fashioning them into a coherent picture. In this case, Williamson and Lindert use occupational directories, tax lists, post-revolutionary census documents, and earlier scholarship, among other resources to build approximations of what people earned when we were getting ready to start turning our muskets on the British. Inherently, such a process involves lots of conjecture.
In the end, the pair find that the colonies were an exceedingly egalitarian place, financially, if not politically.
The chart below, adapted from the Williamson and Linderts' tables, compares the original 13 colonies to contemporary England and the Netherlands (including the former Kingdom of Holland) using a popular measure of inequality known as the Gini coefficient. The closer a Gini figure gets to 0, the more evenly a country's income is divied up. The closer they get to 1, the more of a country's wealth goes to its rich. Note: the colonies have the lowest number of the bunch by far here.
Not
only was income more equally divided in the colonies, but Americans
across the economic spectrum tended to be richer than their European
equivalents. Even slaves, who were sometimes paid a tiny sum for their
forced labor in addition to shelter and food, technically earned more
than the poorest Europeans, Lindert and Williamson write. (From a human
rights perspective, they were obviously worse off).* The one big
exception to this rule was the top 1 percent: Europe's elite were still
wealthier than ours.
On measures of equality, the colonies also compare extremely well to the latter-day United States. In the version of their working paper released Monday, Lindert and Williamson add an analysis of incomes in 1860 while also drawing in Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez's pioneering work on the contemporary income gap. I've transformed those comparisons into the first chart below.
By the time the Civil War came, the top 1 percent of U.S. households laid claim to 10 percent of the nation's income, versus about 7 percent during the founders' era. Today, the same group accounts for about 19 percent.**
Even if you use more conservatives measures of U.S. income inequality from the Census Bureau, it still appears the U.S. was more of a middle-class society back when tri-corner hats were actually considered high fashion.
That stat's not actually as crazy (or demoralizing) as it sounds, but it might upend some of the old wisdom about our country's economic heritage. The conclusion comes to us from an newly updated study by professors Peter Lindert of the University of California - Davis and Jeffrey Williamson of Harvard. Scraping together data from an array of historical resources, the duo have written a fascinating exploration of early American incomes, arguing that, on the eve of the Revolutionary War, wealth was distributed more evenly across the 13 colonies than anywhere else in the world that we have record of.
Suffice to say, times have changed.
Before we dive into their findings, a word of caution about the study. When economists reach back this far into the thinly recorded the past, they're not so much taking a snapshot of what life was like as they are making a messy collage, collecting the disparate bits and pieces of information we have available and fashioning them into a coherent picture. In this case, Williamson and Lindert use occupational directories, tax lists, post-revolutionary census documents, and earlier scholarship, among other resources to build approximations of what people earned when we were getting ready to start turning our muskets on the British. Inherently, such a process involves lots of conjecture.
In the end, the pair find that the colonies were an exceedingly egalitarian place, financially, if not politically.
The chart below, adapted from the Williamson and Linderts' tables, compares the original 13 colonies to contemporary England and the Netherlands (including the former Kingdom of Holland) using a popular measure of inequality known as the Gini coefficient. The closer a Gini figure gets to 0, the more evenly a country's income is divied up. The closer they get to 1, the more of a country's wealth goes to its rich. Note: the colonies have the lowest number of the bunch by far here.
On measures of equality, the colonies also compare extremely well to the latter-day United States. In the version of their working paper released Monday, Lindert and Williamson add an analysis of incomes in 1860 while also drawing in Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez's pioneering work on the contemporary income gap. I've transformed those comparisons into the first chart below.
By the time the Civil War came, the top 1 percent of U.S. households laid claim to 10 percent of the nation's income, versus about 7 percent during the founders' era. Today, the same group accounts for about 19 percent.**
Even if you use more conservatives measures of U.S. income inequality from the Census Bureau, it still appears the U.S. was more of a middle-class society back when tri-corner hats were actually considered high fashion.
We
are much richer nation, and much better off today, than 240 years ago.
In the 1770s, America was a heavily agrarian country of yeoman farmers,
merchants, and tradesmen, with an economy that accounted to just a few
billion dollars in present values. Like India or Russia today,
both of which technically enjoy more income equality than the United
States, early Americans were relatively poor compared to us. They were
just relatively poor together. The first wave of industrialization in
the 19th century increased living standards, but also offered bigger
rewards to factory owners than their workers. That pattern neatly fits
our classic understanding of what's supposed to happen when economies
move from farming to manufacturing. And by now, we've gone through
several epic rounds of economic upheaval that have left us with a vast
gulf between the rich and the rest, as well as a welfare state that
tries to mitigate some of the side effects of that difference.
So,
awful as it might sound, the fact that the United States is less
economically egalitarian than during its rural, slave-society ancestors
is not inherently a reason to fret.
Politically,
though, there may be a lesson in this. Some would argue that income
inequality is acceptable sacrifice to make in return for income mobility
-- the ability for children and families to work their way to better
stations in life. But as Chrystia Freeland has noted,
the founding fathers evidently formed their ideas about democracy in a
social context very different than our own, when distinctions of wealth
simply weren't as sharp. It's possible they expected an equal society to
remain considerably more equal.
___________________________
*To
be extremely explicit, please don't interpret anything in this article
as suggesting that American slavery was anything less than horrific. The
paper only suggests that on a strictly dollars and cents basis, income
was skewed less towards the rich during the colonial era than it is
today.
**In 1860, the Gini coefficient was around 0.51.
According to Piketty and Saez, Gini also peaked above 0.50, before
falling after the Great Recession. The census pegs it at around 0.47,
more modest, but still higher than in the colonies.
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