“The risk of catastrophe will be very high. The nation could erupt into insurrection or civil violence, crack up geographically, or succumb to authoritarian rule.
If there is a war, it is likely to be one of maximum risk and effort –
in other words, a total war. Every Fourth Turning has registered an
upward ratchet in the technology of destruction, and in mankind’s
willingness to use it.” – Strauss & Howe - The Fourth Turning
“In
the need to develop a capacity to know what potential enemies are
doing, the United States government has perfected a technological
capability that enables us to monitor the messages that go through the
air. Now, that is necessary and important to the United States as we
look abroad at enemies or potential enemies. We must know, at the same
time, that capability at any time could be turned around on the American
people, and no American would have any privacy left such is the
capability to monitor everything—telephone conversations, telegrams, it
doesn’t matter. There would be no place to hide.
If
this government ever became a tyrant, if a dictator ever took charge in
this country, the technological capacity that the intelligence
community has given the government could enable it to impose total
tyranny, and there would be no way to fight back because the most
careful effort to combine together in resistance to the government, no
matter how privately it was done, is within the reach of the government
to know. Such is the capability of this technology.
I
don’t want to see this country ever go across the bridge.
I know the
capacity that is there to make tyranny total in America, and we must see
to it that this agency and all agencies that possess this technology
operate within the law and under proper supervision so that we never
cross over that abyss. That is the abyss from which there is no return.” – Frank Church on Meet the Press regarding the NSA – 1975
Ever
since Edward Snowden burst onto the worldwide stage in June 2013, I’ve
been wondering how he fits into the fabric of this ongoing Fourth Turning. This period of Crisis that arrives like clockwork, 60 to 70 years after the end of the previous Fourth Turning (Civil
War – 66 years after American Revolution, Great Depression/World War II
– 64 years after Civil War, Global Financial Crisis – 62 years after
World War II), arrived in September 2008 with the Federal Reserve
created collapse of the global financial system. We are now five and a
half years into this Fourth Turning, with its climax not likely until
the late-2020’s. At this point in previous Fourth Turnings a regeneracy
had unified sides in their cause and a grey champion or champions (Ben
Franklin/Samuel Adams, Lincoln/Davis, FDR) had stepped forward to lead.
Thus far, no one from the Prophet generation has been able to unify the
nation and create a sense of common civic purpose. Societal trust
continues to implode, as faith in political, financial, corporate, and
religious institutions spirals downward. There is no sign of a unifying
regeneracy on the horizon.
The core elements of this Fourth Turning
continue to propel this Crisis: debt, civic decay, global disorder.
Central bankers, politicians, and government bureaucrats have been able
to fashion the illusion of recovery and return to normalcy, but their
“solutions” are nothing more than smoke and mirrors exacerbating the
next bloodier violent stage of this Fourth Turning.
The emergencies will become increasingly dire, triggering unforeseen
reactions and unintended consequences. The civic fabric of our society
will be torn asunder.
In
retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as
ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The
catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies
all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction
of unyielding responses and further emergencies. The core elements of
these scenarios (debt, civic decay, global disorder) will matter more
than the details, which the catalyst will juxtapose and connect in some
unknowable way. If foreign societies are also entering a Fourth Turning,
this could accelerate the chain reaction. At home and abroad, these
events will reflect the tearing of the civic fabric at points of extreme
vulnerability – problem areas where America will have neglected,
denied, or delayed needed action.” – The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe
Debt
The
core crisis element of debt is far worse than it was at the outset of
this Crisis in September 2008. The National Debt has risen from $9.7
trillion to $17.5 trillion, an 80% increase in five and half years. It
took 215 years for the country to accumulate as much debt as it has
accumulated since the start of this Crisis. We continue to add $2.8
billion a day to the National debt, and the president declares it is
time for this austerity to end. The total unfunded liabilities of the
Federal government for Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, government
pensions and now Obamacare exceeds $200 trillion and is mathematically
impossible to honor. Corporate debt stands at an all-time high. Margin
debt is at record levels, as faith in the Federal Reserve’s ability to
levitate the stock market borders on delusional. Consumer debt has
reached new heights, as the government doles out subprime auto loans to
deadbeats and subprime student loans to future University of Phoenix
Einsteins. Global debt has surged by 40% since 2008 to over $100
trillion, as central bankers have attempted to cure a disease caused by
debt with more debt.
All
of this debt accumulation is compliments of Bernanke/Yellen and the
Federal Reserve, who have produced this new debt bubble with their zero
interest rate policy and quantitative easing that has driven their
balance sheet from $935 billion of mostly Treasury bonds in September
2008 to $4.2 trillion of toxic mortgage garbage acquired from their
owners – the insolvent Too Big To Trust Wall Street banks. This entire
house of cards is reliant upon permanently low interest rates, the faith
of foreigners in our lies, and trust in Ivy League educated economists
captured by Wall Street. This debt laden house of cards sits atop
hundreds of trillions of derivatives of mass destruction used by the
Wall Street casinos to generate “riskless” profits. When, not if, a
trigger ignites this explosive concoction of debt, the collapse will be
epic and the violent phase of this Fourth Turning will commence.
Civic Decay
The
core crisis element of civic decay is evident everywhere you turn. Our
failed public educational system is responsible for much of the civic
decay, as a highly educated critical thinking populace is our only
defense against a small cabal of bankers and billionaires acquiring
unwarranted influence and control over our country. Our children have
been taught how to feel and to believe government propaganda. The
atrocious educational system is not a mistake. It has been designed and
manipulated by your owners to produce the results they desire, as
explained bluntly by George Carlin.
“There’s
a reason that education sucks, and it’s the same reason it will never
ever ever be fixed. It’s never going to get any better, don’t look for
it. Be happy with what you’ve got. Because the owners of this country
don’t want that. I’m talking about the real owners now, the big,
wealthy, business interests that control all things and make the big
decisions. They spend billions of dollars every year lobbying to get
what they want. Well, we know what they want; they want more for
themselves and less for everybody else. But I’ll tell you what they
don’t want—they don’t want a population of citizens capable of critical
thinking. They don’t want well informed, well educated people capable of
critical thinking. They’re not interested in that. That doesn’t help
them. That’s against their interest.”
The
urban ghettos become more dangerous and uninhabitable by the day. The
inner cities are crumbling under the weight of welfare spending and
declining tax revenues. The very welfare policies begun fifty years ago
to alleviate poverty have hopelessly enslaved the poor and ignorant in
permanent squalor and destitution. The four decade old drug war has done
nothing to reduce the use of drugs. It has benefited the corporate
prison industry, as millions have been thrown into prison for minor drug
offenses. Meanwhile, millions more have been legally addicted to drugs
peddled by the corporate healthcare complex. The culture warriors and
advocates of new rights for every special interest group continue their
never ending battles which receive an inordinate amount of publicity
from the corporate media. Class warfare is simmering and being inflamed
by politicians pushing their particular agendas. Violence provoked by
race and religion is growing by the day. The fault lines are visible and
the imminent financial earthquake will push distress levels beyond the
breaking point. Once the EBT cards stop working, all hell will break
loose. Three days of panic will empty grocery store shelves and the
National Guard will be called out to try and restore control.
Global Disorder
The
core crisis element of global disorder is evident everywhere you turn.
The false flag revolution in the Ukraine, initiated by the U.S. and EU
in order to blunt Russia’s control of natural gas to Europe, has the
potential to erupt into a full blown shooting war at any moment. The
attempt by Saudi Arabia, Israel and the U.S. to overthrow the Syrian
dictator in order to run a natural gas pipeline across their land into
Europe was blunted by Russia. Iraq is roiled in a civil war, after the
U.S. invaded, occupied and destabilized the country. After 12 years of
occupation, Afghanistan is more dysfunctional and dangerous than it was
before the U.S. saved them from the evil Taliban. Unrest, violent
protests, and brutal measures by rulers continue in Egypt, Turkey,
Thailand, Venezuela, Bahrain, Brazil, and throughout Africa. American
predator drones roam the skies of the world murdering suspected
terrorists. The European Union is insolvent, with Greece, Spain, Italy
and Portugal propped up with newly created debt. Austerity for the
people and prosperity for the bankers is creating tremendous distress
and tension across the continent. A global volcanic eruption is in the
offing.
It
is clear to me the American Empire is in terminal decline. Hubris,
delusion, corruption, foolish disregard for future generations and
endless foreign follies have set in motion a chain of events that will
lead to a cascading sequence of debt defaults, mass poverty, collapsing
financial markets, and hyperinflation or deflation, depending on the
actions of feckless bankers and politicians. There is no avoiding the
tragic outcome brought on by decades of bad choices and a century of
allowing private banking interests to control our currency. The
“emergency” QE and ZIRP responses by the Federal Reserve to the Federal
Reserve created 2008 financial collapse continue, even though the
propaganda peddled by the Deep State tries to convince the public we
have fully recovered. This grand fraud cannot go on forever. Ponzi
schemes no longer work once you run out of dupes. With societal trust
levels approaching all-time lows and foreign countries beginning to
understand they are the dupes, another global financial crisis is a
lock.
The Snowden Factor
With ten to fifteen years likely remaining in this Fourth Turning
Crisis, people familiar with generational turnings can’t help but
ponder what will happen next. Linear thinkers, who constitute the
majority, mistakenly believe things will magically return to normal and
we’ll continue our never ending forward human progress. Their ignorance
of history and generational turnings that recur like the four seasons
will bite them in the ass. We are being flung forward across the vast
chaos of time and our existing social order will be transformed beyond
recognition into something far better or far worse. The actual events
over the coming decade are unknowable in advance, but the mood and
reactions of the generational archetypes to these events are
predictable. The actions of individuals will matter during this Fourth Turning.
The majority are trapped in their propaganda induced, techno distracted
stupor of willful ignorance. It will take a minority of liberty minded
individuals, who honor the principles of the U.S. Constitution and are
willing to sacrifice their lives, to prevail in the coming struggle.
Despite
fog engulfing the path of future events, we know they will be propelled
by debt, civic decay, and global disorder. Finding a unifying grey
champion figure seems unlikely at this point. I believe the revelations
by Edward Snowden have set the course for future events during this
Fourth Turning. The choices of private citizens, like Snowden, Assange,
and Manning, have made a difference. The choices we all make over the
next ten years will make a difference. A battle for the soul of this
country is underway. The Deep State is firmly ingrained, controlling the
financial, political and educational systems, while using their vast
wealth to perpetuate endless war, and domination of the media to
manipulate the masses with propaganda and triviality. They are powerful
and malevolent. They will not relinquish their supremacy and wealth
willingly.
Snowden
has revealed the evil intent of the ruling class and their willingness
to trash the Constitution in their psychopathic pursuit of mammon. The
mass surveillance of the entire population, locking down of an entire
city in pursuit of two teenagers, military training exercises in major
metropolitan areas, militarization of local police forces by DHS,
crushing peaceful demonstrations with brute force, attempting to
restrict and confiscate guns, molesting innocent airline passengers,
executive orders utilized on a regular basis by the president, and
treating all citizens like suspects has set the stage for the coming
conflict. Strauss & Howe warned that history has shown armed
conflict is always a major ingredient during a Fourth Turning.
“History
offers even more sobering warnings: Armed confrontation usually occurs
around the climax of Crisis. If there is confrontation, it is likely to
lead to war. This could be any kind of war – class war, sectional war,
war against global anarchists or terrorists, or superpower war. If there
is war, it is likely to culminate in total war, fought until the losing
side has been rendered nil – its will broken, territory taken, and
leaders captured.” - The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe -1997
It
appears to me the Deep State is preparing for armed conflict with the
people. Why else would they be utilizing Big Brother methods of
surveillance, militarization of police forces and Gestapo like
tactics of intimidation to control the masses? This doesn’t happen in a
democratic republic where private individuals are supposed to know
everything done by public government servants, not vice versa. They know
the cheap, easy to access energy resources are essentially depleted.
They know the system they have built upon a foundation of cheap energy
and cheap debt is unsustainable and will crash in the near future. They
know their fiat currency scheme is failing.They know it is going to come crashing down.
They
know America and the world will plunge into an era of depression,
violence, and war. They also know they want to retain their wealth,
power and control. There is no possibility the existing establishment
can be purged through the ballot box. It’s a one party Big Brother
system that provides the illusion of choice to the Proles. Like it or
not, the only way this country can cast off the shackles of the banking,
corporate, fascist elites, and the government surveillance state is
through an armed revolution. The alternative is to allow an
authoritarian regime, on par with Hitler, Stalin and Mao, to rise from
the ashes of our financial collapse. This
is a distinct possibility, given the ignorance and helplessness of most
Americans after decades of government education and propaganda.
The
average mentally asleep American cannot conceive of armed conflict
within the borders of the U.S. War, violence and dead bodies are
something they see on their 52 inch HDTVs while gobbling chicken wings and cheetos in
their Barcalounger. We’ve allowed a banking cartel and their central
bank puppets to warp and deform our financial system into a hideous
façade,
sold to the masses as free market capitalism. We’ve allowed corporate
interests to capture our political system through bribery and
corruption.
We’ve
allowed the rise of a surveillance state that has stripped us of our
privacy, freedom, liberty and individuality in a futile pursuit of
safety and security. We’ve allowed a military industrial complex to
exercise undue influence in Washington DC, leading to endless undeclared
wars designed to enrich the arms makers. We’ve allowed the corporate
media and the government education complex to use propaganda,
misinformation and social engineering techniques to dumb down the masses
and make them compliant consumers. These delusions will be shattered when our financial and economic system no longer functions. The end is approaching rapidly and very few see it coming.
Glory or Ruin?
The
scenario I envision is a collapse of our debt saturated financial
system, with a domino effect of corporate, personal, and governmental
defaults, exacerbated by the trillions of currency, interest rate, and
stock derivatives. Global stock markets will crash. Trillions in paper
wealth will evaporate into thin air. The Greater Depression will gain a
choke-hold around the world. Mass bankruptcies, unemployment and
poverty will sweep across the land. The social safety net will tear
under the weight of un-payable entitlements. Riots and unrest will
breakout in urban areas. Armed citizens in rural areas will begin to
assemble in small units. The police and National Guard will be unable to
regain control. The military will be called on to suppress any and all
resistance to the Federal government. This act of war will spur further
resistance from liberty minded armed patriots. The new American
Revolution will have begun. Leaders will arise in the name of freedom.
Regional and local bands of fighters will use guerilla tactics to defeat
a slow top heavy military dependent upon technology and vast quantities of oil. A dictatorial regime may assume power on a Federal level. A breakup of the nation into regional states is a distinct possibility.
With
the American Empire crumbling from within, our international influence
will wane. With China also in the midst of a Fourth Turning, their debt
bubble will burst and social unrest will explode into civil war. Global
disorder, wars, terrorism, and financial collapse will lead to a
dramatic decrease in oil production, further sinking the world into
depression. The tensions caused by worldwide recession will lead to the
rise of authoritarian regimes and global warfare. With “advances” in
technological warfare and the proliferation of nuclear warheads, this
scenario has the potential to end life on earth as we know it. The
modern world could be set back into the stone-age with the push of a
button. There are no guarantees of a happy ending for humanity.
The
outcome of this Fourth Turning is dependent upon the actions of a
minority of critical thinking Americans who decide to act. No one can
avoid the trials
and tribulations that lie ahead. We will be faced with immense
challenges. Courage and sacrifice will be required in large doses.
Elders will need to lead and millennials will need to carry a heavy
load, doing most of the dying. The very survival of our society hangs in
the balance. Edward Snowden has provided an example of the sacrifice
required during this Fourth Turning. How we respond and the choices we
make over the next decade will determine whether this Fourth Turning
will result in glory or ruin for our nation.
“Eventually,
all of America’s lesser problems will combine into one giant problem.
The very survival of the society will feel at stake, as leaders lead and
people follow. The emergent society may be something better, a nation
that sustains its Framers’ visions with a robust new pride. Or it may be
something unspeakably worse. The Fourth Turning will be a time of glory
or ruin.” – Strauss & Howe
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