Submitted by Tyler Durden:
While those in the power and money echelons of the "developed" world scramble day after day to hold the pieces of the collapsing tower of cards in place (and manipulating public perception that all is well), knowing full well what the final outcome eventually will be, those who still have the capacity to look, and invest, in the future, are looking neither toward the US, nor Asia, and certainly not Europe, for one simple reason: there is no more incremental debt capacity at any level: sovereign, household, financial or corporate. Because without the ability to create debt out of thin air, be it on a secured or unsecured basis, the ability to "create" growth, at least in the current Keynesian paradigm, goes away with it. Yet there is one place where there is untapped credit creation potential, if not on an unsecured (i.e., future cash flow discounting), then certainly on a secured (hard asset collateral) basis. The place is Africa, and according to some estimates the continent, Africa can create between $5 and $10 trillion in secured debt, using its extensive untapped resources as first-lien collateral.
Africa is precisely where the smart money (and those who quietly run
the abovementioned "power echelons"), namely China and Goldman Sachs,
have refocused all their attention in the past year precisely because
they both realize that Africa is the last and only bastion of untapped
credit growth and capacity. But you won't read about it in the
mainstream papers: the last thing those who are currently splitting up
Africa into its constituent parts want is for the general public to
become aware what is in play. You will, however, read about it on these
pages (see here and here and here).
Also, if you are a Goldman client, you will certainly know all about
it, as the firm ventures out with reverse inquiry indications of
interest to its wealthy clients giving them the right of first equity
refusal, and slowly but surely providing "financial services" to the
last great hope for the developing world, which ironically is what most
still consider the poorest continent...While those in the power and money echelons of the "developed" world scramble day after day to hold the pieces of the collapsing tower of cards in place (and manipulating public perception that all is well), knowing full well what the final outcome eventually will be, those who still have the capacity to look, and invest, in the future, are looking neither toward the US, nor Asia, and certainly not Europe, for one simple reason: there is no more incremental debt capacity at any level: sovereign, household, financial or corporate. Because without the ability to create debt out of thin air, be it on a secured or unsecured basis, the ability to "create" growth, at least in the current Keynesian paradigm, goes away with it. Yet there is one place where there is untapped credit creation potential, if not on an unsecured (i.e., future cash flow discounting), then certainly on a secured (hard asset collateral) basis. The place is Africa, and according to some estimates the continent, Africa can create between $5 and $10 trillion in secured debt, using its extensive untapped resources as first-lien collateral.
Africa in geographical perspective...
And in every other, from Goldman Sachs:
GS Africa
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