By Robert Dujarric: What options does China have? The Naval Diplomat's James Holmes has one idea here.
Tensions between Japan and China over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) islands are continuing, as indicated by continued obstacles to Japanese businesses in China, a drastic decline in tourism, and Chinese patrols near the islands. This is both a Sino-Japanese issue and a part of a broader confrontation between China on one side and the United States and its allies on the other.
Given Japan’s reliance on the U.S. security umbrella, Tokyo’s moves are to some extent constrained by American actions. Nevertheless, Japan’s size and resources mean Tokyo retains considerable autonomy in handling its relationship with Beijing.
At this point, Tokyo has three options:
DO NOTHING. Regardless of the legitimacy of conflicting claims over the islands, the responsibility for the escalation lies mostly with China. The nationalization of three islets, previously owned by a Japanese citizen, did not alter the status quo. Moreover, given (former) Governor Ishihara’s antics about Tokyo purchasing then, it was imperative that the central government preempt him. On the other hand, the party-sponsored – or at least tolerated – violence against Japanese property and individuals in China was on a different scale. Additionally, Chinese moves against Japanese businesses in China amount to economic sanctions.
Tensions between Japan and China over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) islands are continuing, as indicated by continued obstacles to Japanese businesses in China, a drastic decline in tourism, and Chinese patrols near the islands. This is both a Sino-Japanese issue and a part of a broader confrontation between China on one side and the United States and its allies on the other.
Given Japan’s reliance on the U.S. security umbrella, Tokyo’s moves are to some extent constrained by American actions. Nevertheless, Japan’s size and resources mean Tokyo retains considerable autonomy in handling its relationship with Beijing.
At this point, Tokyo has three options:
DO NOTHING. Regardless of the legitimacy of conflicting claims over the islands, the responsibility for the escalation lies mostly with China. The nationalization of three islets, previously owned by a Japanese citizen, did not alter the status quo. Moreover, given (former) Governor Ishihara’s antics about Tokyo purchasing then, it was imperative that the central government preempt him. On the other hand, the party-sponsored – or at least tolerated – violence against Japanese property and individuals in China was on a different scale. Additionally, Chinese moves against Japanese businesses in China amount to economic sanctions.