Prof. Jiang Xueqin: Geopolitics, in this analysis, is not simply the clash of nations but the convergence of powerful interests—military, financial, and ideological—focused on the strategic heart of the global economy: the Middle East. Competing trade visions, from China’s Belt and Road Initiative to regional transport corridors linking Europe and Asia, underscore a single reality: whoever secures the region’s energy routes and chokepoints—especially the Strait of Hormuz—holds leverage over global trade. Any escalation between Israel and Iran would therefore extend far beyond the battlefield, threatening supply chains, financial markets, and political stability across Asia and the West.
The speaker argues that internal political pressures within Israel, Iran, the United States, and Europe are as decisive as military calculations. Wars abroad are framed as extensions of deeper domestic struggles—between entrenched financial elites rooted in the post–Cold War “new world order,” first articulated under George H. W. Bush, and populist or nationalist challengers seeking to dismantle that system. China, by contrast, is portrayed as a cautious power—unlikely to fight directly, but prepared to mediate while preserving trade with all sides.
The result is a stark conclusion: today’s conflicts, from Gaza to Ukraine, are not isolated crises but interconnected battles over infrastructure, sovereignty, and the future of the global financial order.
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