The Hardest Simping I Have Ever Seen Was During the Crowder Ring Footage

Pearl

ONS Revised Method For Excess Deaths (UK): A Critique – Part 3

'The ONS have not addressed the hypothesis of interest, namely whether there might be excess deaths post-covid, not attributable directly to covid but with some other origin since 2020. The failure to address this hypothesis is due to the use of baselines which are inappropriate for that purpose. The ONS also fail to make this explicit, leading to a likelihood of public misinterpretation of their use of the term “excess deaths”.'

By William Collins aka MRA-UK: This should be read in conjunction with Part 1 and Part 2.

Here I give the results for annual excess deaths in the UK for the following cases.

Models based on the log of the dependent variable

A = ONS results: old method

B = ONS results: new method

C = my approximation of the ONS new method

D = based on the baseline 2015 to 2019 for all predicted years from 2020 onwards

E = based on the baseline 2005 to 2019 for all predicted years from 2020 onwards

Welcome To Mixed Reality: A Fake Place Where Fake People Are Trapped Forever

“Once men turned their thinking over to machines in the hope that this would set them free. But that only permitted other men with machines to enslave them.” —Frank Herbert

By Corbett: The worst thing in the world is to be right.

No, that’s not quite right. Let me amend that. The worst thing in the world is to be right about something horrific and inescapable, a looming danger that you can see approaching from the distance but whose progress you are powerless to prevent no matter how loudly you ring the alarm.

This is the lesson of Cassandra, the Trojan princess of Greek mythology who, having deceived the god Apollo, was cursed with the gift of uttering true prophecies that were never believed by anyone.

The Long War On White People

'White ethnicities are a dead and vanquished peoples. They have accepted their demise and have been thrown into the trash bin of history.'

By Dr. Paul Craig Roberts: White people have been destroying white people for as long as I remember.  I don’t mean only in military wars, such as WW I and WW II, which destroyed the English and Europe and left them as American vassel states.  In wars of a different kind the damage has been as terrible. In fact, worse, because it is not only a genocide of white people but a genocide of their culture of freedom and accountable government.

(Note: in this article I include Jews among white people.  Some Jews maintain that “white” applies only to gentiles and that Jews are Semites.)

So that this column doesn’t get too long for Americans to have the patience to read, I will start at an arbitrary point in time:  The destruction of neighborhood schools.  It began with Brown vs. Board of Education when an unintelligent and socially illiterate Supreme Court ruled that going to school with your own kind was “unequal” and a violation of the 14th Amendment of equal treatment under the law. 

Liberals aimed Brown vs. Board of Education at the Southern states that had comprised the Confederate States of America.  They intended a second Reconstruction of the South, but the supreme court’s ruling affected the entire country.

Why Central Bank Digital Currencies Are Unnecessary And Dangerous

The world’s financial challenges are not solved by imposing total control implemented by a monetary monopoly whose independence is seriously questioned...

Authored by Daniel Lacalle: The main central banks have been deliberating on the concept of introducing a digital currency. However, many citizens fail to grasp the rationale behind it when the majority of transactions in major global currencies are carried out electronically. Nevertheless, a central bank digital currency is much more than electronic money. I will explain why.

Central banks are raising interest rates and enacting restrictive monetary policies as quickly as governmental regulations allow because they are aware that monetary factors are the primary cause of inflation. Central banks have recently lost credibility by initially disregarding the inflation danger, then attributing it to transitory factors, and finally responding belatedly and gradually.

This Goes Deeper Than You Know! - Dr Pierre Kory EXPOSES Disinformation Playbook

Russell Brand: Here’s a clip conversation with Dr Pierre Kory on ‘The Disinformation Playbook’ and how it is used to crush independent voices.

Ultra Fascist Justin Trudeau BUSTED Using Covid Money To Enrich His Friends

Redacted: Ultra fascist Justin Trudeau in Canada use Covid as a way to line his pockets and the pockets of his friends with fat contracts! That's exactly the charged being leveled right now by Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. Canadian journalist David Krayden joins us to explain.

Why There Will Never Be Another Malcolm X: His Other Side That Media Hides!

We Love Africa: What if we tell you that much of what you have heard about the legendary Malcolm X is inaccurate and driven by propaganda? Despite the efforts of many individuals to obscure his contributions to the black community and global human rights, we are here to share the truth about this iconic figure.

Malcolm X's journey was far from conventional, from a challenging upbringing to a descent into criminal activities and a decade behind bars. Yet, little did anyone anticipate that he would alter the course of history. So, what actions did he take that led to preserving his legacy? Let's find out.

ONS Revised Method For Excess Deaths (UK): A Critique – Part 2

'Both the current and new methods used by the ONS fail to address the hypothesis that there might be excess deaths post-covid, not attributable directly to covid, due to the use of an inappropriate baseline.'

By William Collins aka MRA-UK: This post should be read in conjunction with Part 1.

I have now carried out some initial runs of the ONS model. There is much I still wish to explore but I thought I’d publish this Part 2 with all possible speed as it contains the essential refutation of the ONS position.

I have not used the ONS code; I have not have I used R at all. I have used Python with statsmodels.api OLS functionality.

However, I have used the same dataset as ONS. As explained in Part 1, this offers an improvement on what I have done previously (e.g., here) because it contains improved data on the variation of the UK age profile over the last 19 years. (At least, I am assuming it’s “improved”).

I use the same regression model as ONS, i.e., based on the log of the dependent variable (quasi-Poisson) and the same dependent variables. However, I have restricted my re-analysis so far to the case of monthly data (not weekly) and have fitted the model to all-UK. This contrasts with ONS where fits were conducted for the four UK nations separately before summing to get the UK total of excess deaths. Hence the model I have used has 111 independent variables.

"The BRITISH Killed Alexei Navalny And Here's Why"

Cui Bono?

Redacted: Did the British kill Alexei Navalny? That is what my guest today says may have happened! It's not the craziest thing, the West supported Navalny.

Scott Ritter Sends Big Warning: The Jews 𝐒𝐋𝐀𝐔𝐆𝐇𝐓𝐄𝐑 𝐈𝐍𝐍𝐎𝐂𝐄𝐍𝐓 Christians & All Others In Rafah

"This isn't war. This is genocide. And the world is doing nothing!"

Daily Vlog

Orthodox Christian & Ex Jew Nathanael Sets Record Straight

YP: Brother Nathanael is an Orthodox Christian monk in the Russian Orthodox Church Outside of Russia (ROCOR).

Who is Brother Nathanael? Where does he come from? Why does he wear black clothes with a Kamilavka - that tall circular hat on his head? In the first interview we discussed Brother Nathanael's Jewish upbringing, and the interview brought us all the way up to the moment when he read the New Testament for the first time. In this interview we will complete the story, finding out what happened after he read the New Testament. We will find out what happened in the intervening years between then and now, when he finds himself as tonsured monk in ROCOR.